Cheltenham Gold Cup Runners and Riders

So we come to the main event of the week the 2014 Betfred Cheltenham Gold Cup Runners and 14 horses will head to post. I have to say this year’s renewal looks one of the best for some time and it’s time for the talking to stop. So who are you with Bobs Worth or Silviniaco Conti or perhaps even a new horse on the block?! Well I’m going to plump for horse Bobs Worth , even though confidence has been slightly dented in the build up to the big day. I think Silviniaco Conti is the main danger but here are my thoughts on the field.

Bobs-Worth

Paddy Power have gone crazy again, now 7/1 on Bobs Worth for Gold Cup, currently 7/4

 

No.
Colours
Horse
Form
Approx. Odds
Bet
Age
Trainer
Jockey
Rating
1

Bobs Worth

11-61

2/1

bet

9 Nicky Henderson Barry Geraghty
185
Bobs Worth returns to defend his crown and is entitled to be a short priced favourite in his bid for back-to-back victories. He put a disappointing reappearance in the Betfair Chase behind him when landing the Lexus Chase at Leopardstown over Christmas in pulsating fashion. Unbeaten in five starts at Cheltenham, three of those victories coming at the Festival, Bobs Worth has never been headed when hitting the front. Anything close to last year’s performance would surely be good enough again. GET 7/1 AT PADDY POWER – SPECIAL OFFER
2

Cloudy Too

3-1012

50/1

bet

8 Sue Smith Jonathan England
165
Saddled by Grand National winning trainer Sue Smith, Cloudy Too has won two of his four starts this season, including the Rowland Meyrick Chase over Christmas at Wetherby. He found Captain Chris far too good in the Grade One Ascot Chase last time out and was well down the field behind Triolo D’Alene in the Hennessy Gold Cup. It would be a surprise if he’s good enough to make the frame in this.
3

First Lieutenant

3-3423

10/1

bet

9 MF Morris D J Casey
175
First Lieutenant has finished runner-up at the last two Festivals, behind Bobs Worth in the 2012 RSA Chase and beaten nine lengths by Cue Card in the 2013 Ryanair Chase. He then went on to land the Grade One Betfred Bowl at Aintree. Although he is without a win so far this season, a narrow second behind Bobs Worth in the Lexus Chase reads very well and the former Neptune Novices’ Hurdle winner does seem to come into his own at this time of year. He is one of two runners for Gigginstown Stud, who enjoyed their finest hour in this race with War of Attrition in 2006.
4

Houblon Des Obeaux

16143

50/1

bet

7 Venetia Williams Liam Treadwell
170
One of two runners for trainer Venetia Williams, Houblon Des Obeaux won the listed Silver Cup at Ascot in December. A likeable and consistent sort, he has finished in the frame on eight of his 13 chase starts to date, but whether he’s good enough to be competitive at this level is open to question. However, the Williams’ Grand National winner Mon Mome did spring a surprise when finishing third behind Imperial Commander in the 2010 Gold Cup at odds of 50/1.
5

Katenko

1-F443

66/1

bet

8 Venetia Williams Aidan Coleman
167
Although lower rated than his stablemate, Katenko was in good heart last winter, winning two competitive handicap chases at Sandown and Cheltenham, including a nine length defeat of subsequent Paddy Power Gold Cup winner Johns Spirit. A faller in the Hennessy Gold Cup won by Triolo D’Alene, he has yet to recapture that form this term and finished a distant third in the Denman Chase last time out at Newbury.
6

Knockara Beau

512512

66/1

bet

11 George Charlton Jan Falteksek
158
The veteran Knockara Beau is an admirable sort, winning 11 out of 46 races under rules, including five victories over fences. Two of those successes have come this term, so he retains plenty of ability, although he is unlikely to be good enough to trouble the main contenders in Cheltenham’s Blue Riband event.
7

Last Instalment

111/31

7/1

bet

9 Philip Fenton Brian O’Connell
171
Last Instalment showed plenty of promise as a young chaser, winning his first four starts over fences in the 2011/12 season, including two Grade One Novice events at Leopardstown, before getting injured. He returned to the track after a two year absence in January, before scoring in scintillating fashion in the Grade One Hennessy Gold Cup at Leopardstown, beating Tidal Bay by eight and a half lengths. However, that was on soft to heavy going and the faster ground will not be in his favour.
8

Lord Windermere

31-876

33/1

bet

8 J H Culloty Davy Russell
161
Jim Culloty enjoyed tremendous success in the Gold Cup as a jockey, thanks to his amazing partnership with the legendary Best Mate. Now a trainer, he won the RSA Chase with Lord Windermere last year, but the horse has failed to fulfil that promise in three starts this season and was 26 lengths behind Last Instalment in sixth at Leopardstown on his latest start. Question marks remain over his ability at top level.
9

Lyreen Legend

423-55

40/1

bet

7 D T Hughes P Carberry
158
Dessie Hughes and Paul Carberry team up with Irish challenger Lyreen Legend, who is another that looks likely to just make up the numbers here. Runner up behind Lord Windermere in last season’s RSA Chase, he could only finish fifth behind Bobs Worth in the Lexus Chase and filled the same position in the Irish Hennessy Gold Cup behind Last Instalment last time out. Not quite up to this grade.
10

On His Own

176611

18/1

bet

10 W P Mullins Ruby Walsh
165
On His Own has been campaigned as a Grand National horse in the last two years, although he has fallen on both of his visits to Aintree to date. He has looked better than ever this season when landing the Thyestes and Bobbyjo Chase and his trainer Willie Mullins believes he deserves this step up in class to see if he can prove himself at Gold Cup level. He is an interesting outsider that could reward each way backers.
11

Silviniaco Conti

1F3-31

3/1

bet

8 Paul Nicholls Noel Fehily
183
Silviniaco Conti fell in this race last year when a well fancied second favourite, so we can only guess if he would have been good enough to challenge Bobs Worth. He subsequently failed to fire when third in the Betfred Bowl at Aintree and could only fill the same spot in the Betfair Chase on his seasonal reappearance. He then made amends in no uncertain fashion at Kempton, landing the King George VI Chase by three and a half lengths, turning the tables on his Haydock conqueror Cue Card. Trainer Paul Nicholls will have high hopes that Silviniaco Conti can emulate his other Gold Cup winners See More Business, Kauto Star and Denman.
12

Teaforthree

203-92

40/1

bet

10 Rebecca Curtis Nick Schofield
162
Another horse that was originally being aimed at the Grand National, where he finished third last year, Aintree remains the target for Welsh National runner-up Teaforthree. An out-and-out stayer that relishes marathon distances, he may find them going too quick early on, but will be running on when others have cried enough. He also has Cheltenham Festival form, having won the National Hunt Chase in 2012, so if there is going to be a shock he could run into a place at a big price.
13

The Giant Bolster

7-7U51

14/1

bet

9 David Bridgwater Tom Scudamore
172
A big priced outsider often makes the frame in the Gold Cup and The Giant Bolster was the surprise package two years ago when runner up to Synchronised at 50/1. He proved that was no fluke when finishing fourth in last year’s race behind Bobs Worth and beat Hennessy runner up Rocky Creek decisively by seven lengths last time out in the Argento Chase. Although not the most consistent horse, he deserves his place in this line-up and jockey Tom Scudamore has been bullish about his chances of finally landing the big one.
14

Triolo D’Alene

81-131

10/1

bet

9 Nicky Henderson AP McCoy
168
After scoring at 20/1 in the Hennessy Gold Cup, the Grand National was declared the main aim for Triolo D’Alene, but connections have since had an apparent change of heart. Winner of the Topham Chase at Aintree last season, he landed two of his three starts in the autumn, but has not been seen on track since his Newbury success. Still only seven years old, there could be further improvement to come and trainer Nicky Henderson thinks he could be the dark horse in the race, although it would be a surprise if his overall form was good enough to win this.
Selection: Bobs WorthNext Best: Silviniaco ContiEach Way: On His OwnLong Shot: Teaforthree

Cheltenham Gold Cup Tips 2014

Instalment can be there at the Last to beat Bob’s Worth

“Matthew Glazier is a betting industry expert, having worked for operators such as bet365, Betfair and Sporting Index. He is an expert on the Cheltenham Festival, having attending every meeting since 2003.”

It is 16/1 bar the first three in the latest Gold Cup betting following the news that Cue Card will miss the 2014 Cheltenham Festival, just days after trainer Colin Tizzard declared the horse for the blue riband race of the meeting rather than the Ryanair.

Cue Card was the winner of the Betfair Chase back in November before an impressive run in the King George, although the consensus was that the eight-year-old may have struggled to get the trip in this race, especially if the ground was soft.

While Cue Card started rowing at Kempton on Boxing Day, Silviniaco Conti was there to pick up the pieces, thus proving what a tremendous stamina horse Paul Nicholls has in his stables.

Conti looked to be running a decent race in the 2013 Gold Cup before falling towards the end of the contest, although some might argue that Ruby Walsh was already struggling to squeeze enough juice from his charge as they approached the formidable hill.

Nevertheless, there was everything to like about the King George triumph which franked the form of the Betfair Chase, although it was the horse’s first win of the season and came on heavy ground during a particularly wet spell during the festive period.

Jockey Ruby Walsh feels as though the race is a straight shoot-out between the front two in the betting, although he doesn’t give either horse the edge ahead of the three mile two furlong showdown.

“If I’m being very honest, I think it’s a match – Bobs Worth versus Silviniaco Conti, take your pick,” declared Walsh. “Bobs Worth is guaranteed to get the trip, Conti was tough in the King George and he came back to beat Cue Card, so I think, all things being equal, they’ll be the two heading to the last this year.”

paddy power bobs 700

 

Bob’s Worth is the rightful favourite to retain his Gold Cup crown, having seen off his rivals twelve months ago with a fantastic run and the horse appeared to be somewhere near his best form at Leopardstown when winning the Lexus Chase.

The nine-year-old ran a stinker in the Betfair Chase although there were mitigating circumstances behind this poor performance and Henderson feels that his horse will take all the beating again.

Following the news that Cue Card will not run, Bob’s Worth has been trimmed into 7/4 on the outright market although his trainer has declared the race as an “open” one, citing Last Instalment as a danger in addition to Silviniaco Conti.

“The Gold Cup is very open. By and large it’s the same faces, although the horse who won the other day (Last Instalment) is interesting and beat First Lieutenant by further than we did.

“Silviniaco Conti is the obvious horse. He would have been close if he hadn’t fallen last year. With the Irish, I think we know where we are with them. Yes, Silviniaco Conti beat us at Haydock, but we’re better than that.

“You know if he’s in contention as they run to the second-last, there’s a pretty good chance he’ll finish his race off.”

Indeed, Last Instalment is as short as 5/1 with Coral to win the Gold Cup and the bookie clearly rate his chances considering he’s a best price 7/1 with BetVictor who offer Non-Runner No Bet for this championship race.

The nine-year-old had been away from the track for nearly two years before finishing third in a Grade 2 race at Thurles in January, although the Philip Fenton horse produced the goods at Leopardstown a month later when winning the Irish Hennessy Gold Cup in convincing fashion.

It was a run with plenty of wow factor, with the horse leading from the front and kicking well clear of horses such as Tidal Bay and First Lieutenant. As Henderson suggests, the winning distance of nine lengths over the latter might give Bob’s Worth trainer something to think about.

Fenton has recently been charged with possessing anabolic steroids and other banned substances, with the next court hearing scheduled for just after the Festival, although owner Michael O’Leary confirmed his horse will line up in the race providing the ground isn’t too quick.

 

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“Last Instalment will run in the Cheltenham Gold Cup, providing the ground is not good or faster,” O’Leary said. “He has glass legs and we wouldn’t risk him on fast ground.

“The timing of this whole episode is very unfortunate, coming so close to Cheltenham. It’s tough for Philip but we feel duty-bound to support him. Whatever substances have been found that is for Philip to deal with but there is no reason for us to doubt his innocence.”

What of the other Gold Cup contenders? We usually see a big-price horse in the frame for this race and Captain Chris is certainly capable of running a big race, with the ten-year-old not doing himself any justice in the race twelve months ago when finishing sixth.

The last two performances have been more encouraging for trainer Philip Hobbs, winning at Kempton in January and the Ascot Chase a month later, with a nineteen-length victory certainly cementing his credentials for the big race.

First Lieutenant has a lot of improvement to find if he’s to trouble the leading Gold Cup protagonists, although The Giant Bolster ran fourth to Bob’s Worth in last year’s renewal, having previously finished second behind Synchronised at massive odds of 50/1.

Victory in the Argento Chase means that Coral go as short as 14/1 about the nine-year-old, although bet365 are prepared to quote 22/1 about a horse that would prefer the ground to have plenty of cut in it.

RECOMMENDATION: Last Instalment @ 7/1 e/w with BetVictor

Cheltenham Gold Cup Runners 2014

So we come to the main event of the week the 2014 Betfred Cheltenham Gold Cup Runners and 14 horses will head to post. I have to say this year’s renewal looks one of the best for some time and it’s time for the talking to stop. So who are you with Bobs Worth or Silviniaco Conti  or perhaps even a new horse on the block?! Well I’m going to plump for horse Bobs Worth , even though confidence has been slightly dented in the build up to the big day. I think Silviniaco Conti is the main danger but here are my thoughts on the field.

Bobs-Worth

Paddy Power have gone crazy again, now 7/1 on Bobs Worth for Gold Cup, currently 7/4

 

No.
Colours
Horse
Form
Approx. Odds
Bet
Age
Trainer
Jockey
Rating
1

Bobs Worth

11-61

2/1

bet

9 Nicky Henderson Barry Geraghty
185
Bobs Worth returns to defend his crown and is entitled to be a short priced favourite in his bid for back-to-back victories.  He put a disappointing reappearance in the Betfair Chase behind him when landing the Lexus Chase at Leopardstown over Christmas in pulsating fashion.  Unbeaten in five starts at Cheltenham, three of those victories coming at the Festival, Bobs Worth has never been headed when hitting the front.  Anything close to last year’s performance would surely be good enough again. GET 7/1 AT PADDY POWER – SPECIAL OFFER
2

Cloudy Too

 3-1012

50/1

bet

8 Sue Smith Jonathan England
165
Saddled by Grand National winning trainer Sue Smith, Cloudy Too has won two of his four starts this season, including the Rowland Meyrick Chase over Christmas at Wetherby.  He found Captain Chris far too good in the Grade One Ascot Chase last time out and was well down the field behind Triolo D’Alene in the Hennessy Gold Cup.  It would be a surprise if he’s good enough to make the frame in this.
3

First Lieutenant

 3-3423

10/1

bet

9 MF Morris D J Casey
175
First Lieutenant has finished runner-up at the last two Festivals, behind Bobs Worth in the 2012 RSA Chase and beaten nine lengths by Cue Card in the 2013 Ryanair Chase.  He then went on to land the Grade One Betfred Bowl at Aintree.  Although he is without a win so far this season, a narrow second behind Bobs Worth in the Lexus Chase reads very well and the former Neptune Novices’ Hurdle winner does seem to come into his own at this time of year.  He is one of two runners for Gigginstown Stud, who enjoyed their finest hour in this race with War of Attrition in 2006.
4

Houblon Des Obeaux

 16143

50/1

bet

7 Venetia Williams Liam Treadwell
170
One of two runners for trainer Venetia Williams, Houblon Des Obeaux won the listed Silver Cup at Ascot in December.  A likeable and consistent sort, he has finished in the frame on eight of his 13 chase starts to date, but whether he’s good enough to be competitive at this level is open to question.  However, the Williams’ Grand National winner Mon Mome did spring a surprise when finishing third behind Imperial Commander in the 2010 Gold Cup at odds of 50/1.
5

Katenko

 1-F443

66/1

bet

8 Venetia Williams Aidan Coleman
167
Although lower rated than his stablemate, Katenko was in good heart last winter, winning two competitive handicap chases at Sandown and Cheltenham, including a nine length defeat of subsequent Paddy Power Gold Cup winner Johns Spirit.  A faller in the Hennessy Gold Cup won by Triolo D’Alene, he has yet to recapture that form this term and finished a distant third in the Denman Chase last time out at Newbury.
6

Knockara Beau

 512512

66/1

bet

11 George Charlton Jan Falteksek
158
The veteran Knockara Beau is an admirable sort, winning 11 out of 46 races under rules, including five victories over fences.  Two of those successes have come this term, so he retains plenty of ability, although he is unlikely to be good enough to trouble the main contenders in Cheltenham’s Blue Riband event.
7

Last Instalment

 111/31

7/1

bet

9 Philip Fenton Brian O’Connell
171
Last Instalment showed plenty of promise as a young chaser, winning his first four starts over fences in the 2011/12 season, including two Grade One Novice events at Leopardstown, before getting injured.  He returned to the track after a two year absence in January, before scoring in scintillating fashion in the Grade One Hennessy Gold Cup at Leopardstown, beating Tidal Bay by eight and a half lengths. However, that was on soft to heavy going and the faster ground will not be in his favour.
8

Lord Windermere

 31-876

33/1

bet

8 J H Culloty Davy Russell
161
Jim Culloty enjoyed tremendous success in the Gold Cup as a jockey, thanks to his amazing partnership with the legendary Best Mate.  Now a trainer, he won the RSA Chase with Lord Windermere last year, but the horse has failed to fulfil that promise in three starts this season and was 26 lengths behind Last Instalment in sixth at Leopardstown on his latest start.  Question marks remain over his ability at top level.
9

Lyreen Legend

 423-55

40/1

 bet

7 D T Hughes P Carberry
158
Dessie Hughes and Paul Carberry team up with Irish challenger Lyreen Legend, who is another that looks likely to just make up the numbers here.  Runner up behind Lord Windermere in last season’s RSA Chase, he could only finish fifth behind Bobs Worth in the Lexus Chase and filled the same position in the Irish Hennessy Gold Cup behind Last Instalment last time out.  Not quite up to this grade.
10

On His Own

 176611

18/1

bet

10 W P Mullins Ruby Walsh
165
On His Own has been campaigned as a Grand National horse in the last two years, although he has fallen on both of his visits to Aintree to date.  He has looked better than ever this season when landing the Thyestes and Bobbyjo Chase and his trainer Willie Mullins believes he deserves this step up in class to see if he can prove himself at Gold Cup level.  He is an interesting outsider that could reward each way backers.
11

Silviniaco Conti

 1F3-31

3/1

bet

8 Paul Nicholls Noel Fehily
183
Silviniaco Conti fell in this race last year when a well fancied second favourite, so we can only guess if he would have been good enough to challenge Bobs Worth.  He subsequently failed to fire when third in the Betfred Bowl at Aintree and could only fill the same spot in the Betfair Chase on his seasonal reappearance.  He then made amends in no uncertain fashion at Kempton, landing the King George VI Chase by three and a half lengths, turning the tables on his Haydock conqueror Cue Card.  Trainer Paul Nicholls will have high hopes that Silviniaco Conti can emulate his other Gold Cup winners See More Business, Kauto Star and Denman.
12

Teaforthree

 203-92

40/1

bet

10 Rebecca Curtis Nick Schofield
162
Another horse that was originally being aimed at the Grand National, where he finished third last year, Aintree remains the target for Welsh National runner-up Teaforthree.  An out-and-out stayer that relishes marathon distances, he may find them going too quick early on, but will be running on when others have cried enough.  He also has Cheltenham Festival form, having won the National Hunt Chase in 2012, so if there is going to be a shock he could run into a place at a big price.
13

The Giant Bolster

 7-7U51

14/1

bet

9 David Bridgwater Tom Scudamore
172
A big priced outsider often makes the frame in the Gold Cup and The Giant Bolster was the surprise package two years ago when runner up to Synchronised at 50/1.  He proved that was no fluke when finishing fourth in last year’s race behind Bobs Worth and beat Hennessy runner up Rocky Creek decisively by seven lengths last time out in the Argento Chase.  Although not the most consistent horse, he deserves his place in this line-up and jockey Tom Scudamore has been bullish about his chances of finally landing the big one.
14

Triolo D’Alene

 81-131

10/1

bet

9 Nicky Henderson AP McCoy
168
After scoring at 20/1 in the Hennessy Gold Cup, the Grand National was declared the main aim for Triolo D’Alene, but connections have since had an apparent change of heart.  Winner of the Topham Chase at Aintree last season, he landed two of his three starts in the autumn, but has not been seen on track since his Newbury success.  Still only seven years old, there could be further improvement to come and trainer Nicky Henderson thinks he could be the dark horse in the race, although it would be a surprise if his overall form was good enough to win this.
Selection: Bobs WorthNext Best: Silviniaco ContiEach Way: On His Own

Long Shot: Teaforthree

Cheltenham Gold Cup Live Stream 2013

Cheltenham Gold Cup Live Stream 2013

Watch the Cheltenham Gold Cup live online from bet365.

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1.Once a qualifying bet has been placed and the stream is available (2 minutes before the off), click the Watch icon from either the bet slip, the racecard or from ‘Watch Your Live Races’.

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Cheltenham Gold Cup Tips 2013, Bobs Worth to Win?

 

Cheltenham Gold Cup Tips 2013

3-20 Betfred Cheltenham Gold Cup 2013

carl-harrisThis is the blue riband of National Hunt Racing, the Betfred Cheltenham Gold Cup. It has been won by some greats down the years and in recent times they include DENMAN and KAUTO STAR. Imperial Commander is now out and the sad demise of Synchronised, last year’s winner, means the only previous winner in this field is Long Run. This is the most wide open Gold Cup seen for sometime.

TRENDS- POSITIVES:

· 13 of the winners in the last 15 renewals had a previous run at a past Festival, which is 9% better than expected and 10 winners had either won or placed in a past Festival race from 103 runners, that’s 7% better than expected. Neither of those are massively strong statistics since past festival form horses are over bet, but it can’t be ignored when narrowing the field. · 8 of the last 15 ran in a Grade 1 race last time out from just 51 runners, which is 49% better than expected. · Irish Breds have won 12 of the 15, 34% better than expected. · If we add in Grade 2 last time out then 13 of the 15 ran in a Grade 1 or 2 last time out, 30% more than expected. · 12 of the last 15 were in the top 3 in the betting. · 10 of the last 15 ran at exactly 3 miles last time out · Horses winning last time out won 8 of the last 15 renewals.

A field of 11 horses contest the 2013 Gold Cup, competitive but there is no one stand out horse, all have questions to answer. These are the horses I see as the main players.

BOBS WORTH, cky Henderson thinks a huge amount about Bob’s Worth. Bred by his jockey Barry Geraghty it would be an extra special win for him. He comes here with just one run under his belt this season although that was a 3 ¼ length beating of Tidal Nay in the Hennessy Gold Cup, his Cheltenham record reads 1-1-1-1. Henderson’s record with horses at Cheltenham is second to none. Off a long rest is not no good. Bobs Worth is the favourite and rightly so!

SIR DES CHAMPS, also has an unbeaten Cheltenham and Festival but his form this year is not good enough to land this. Would need to improve on what we have seen.

SILVINIACO CONTI is the big hope and the up and coming chaser to fill the boots of Denman and Kauto Star. Nicholls is bullish and what he has done this season puts him in the mix. Could give Bobs Worth a race.

LONG RUN bids to regain his crown but vibes are not good. Cheek Pieces will be worn and he doesn’t look the horse of old. Won the King George, yes, but just, and should be not match for Bobs Worth or Conti.

Of the outsiders the each way play in the race is THE GIANT BOLSTER 14/1. David Bridgewater is a hard worker and he has trained this horse to get 100% out of it. If you put 100% in you reap what you sew. Placed in a Gold Cup already he has a real chance at value odds.

For me the outstanding two horses are BOBS WORTH and SILVINIACO CONTI. A pro bet would be to Dutch the two. Put a gun to my head and I will go for Bobs Worth

BOBS WORTH WIN @ 11/4 Bet with William Hill Bet With Bet365

THE GIANT BOLSTER EW @ 14/1 Bet with William Hill Bet With Bet365

Cheltenham Tips for Friday, Gold Cup Day 2013 by Carl Harris

Cheltenham Festival 2013 Friday 15 March.

1-30 JCB Triumph Hurdle (Juvenile Grade 1) (4-yo) 2013

carl-harrisOne of my favourite races of the Festival, usually unearths a high class horse for the future and it has traditionally paid to follow Nicky Henderson in this. Some interesting stats;

· Last time out winners are 11 from 15,
· Prominent runners have won 9 of the last 15
· 11 of the 15 had a run in the last 42 days
· 10 of the 15 could be found in the first four in the betting.
· 7 of the 15 raced in a Class 1 race last time out from just 93 runners
· CAUTION: Horses returning after a break of more than 42 days have only won 2 of the last 15 renewals from 89
· Held up runners have won 3 from 15 from 163 runners

I did read one preview saying that four year olds had a 100% record in this race! This is a very good renewal of the Triumph. I have a short list of TWO exceptional contenders; ROLLING STAR and OUR CONNOR. Bristish v Irish. There is very little between them according to my ratings with the marginal preference being for the Nicky Henderson trained ROLLING STAR. We last saw him at Cheltenham beating Irish Saint and he looked mightily impressive. He went down as the Triumph Hurdle horse and I still think he is the best. Our Connor is respected and the smart bet is to Dutch them both. But preference is for Rolling Star at 4/1.

MAX BET WIN ROLLING STAR 4/1  Bet with William Hill Bet With Bet365

2-05 Vincent O Brien County Handicap Hurdle

This is a minefield of a handicap, with 28 runners and if you find the winner of this you will be richly rewarded. Sounds easy, it is nothing of the sort! My tentative bet here is an each way (small stakes only) on RANJAAN for Paul Nicholls and Ruby Walsh who have had a contrasting Festivals so far. This is somewhat speculative as I think the horse will appreciate the better ground. We have had heavy going most of the season and the better ground combined with a favourable mark could give us a decent run.

RANJAAN EW 16/1 Bet with William Hill Bet With Bet365

 

2-40 Albert Bartlett Novices Hurdle

Only eight running’s of this race to day so little can be learned from the statistical trends;

· All 8 winners raced in a Class 1 race last time out, that’s from just 60 runners
· The top 5 in the betting have won 7 of the 8 renewals.
· 7 of the 8 winners were 1st or 2nd last time out.

That’s not really of much help! I have three in the ratings that are on the short list;

· AT FISHERS CROSS- 100
· BALLYCASSEY- 96
· AFRICAN GOLD 92

The form of AT FISHERS CROSS could hardly look any better. Beating The New One last time out and he is my firm bet here. FRICAN GOLD also has had his form franked at Sandown on Saturday and at 13/2 is a great bet each way.

AT FISHERS CROSS WIN 11/4 Bet with William Hill Bet With Bet365

AFRICAN GOLD  EW 13/2 Bet with William Hill Bet With Bet365

 

3-20 Betfred Cheltenham Gold Cup Chase

This is the blue riband of National Hunt Racing. The Betfred Cheltenham Gold Cup. It has been won by some greats down the years and in recent times they include DENMAN and KAUTO STAR. Imperial Commander is now out and the sad demise of Synchronised, last year’s winner, means the only previous winner in this field is Long Run. This is the most wide open Gold Cup seen for sometime.

TRENDS- POSTIVES:

· 13 of the winners in the last 15 renewals had a previous run at a past Festival, which is 9% better than expected and 10 winners had either won or placed in a past Festival race from 103 runners, that’s 7% better than expected. Neither of those are massively strong statistics since past festival form horses are over bet, but it can’t be ignored when narrowing the field.
· 8 of the last 15 ran in a Grade 1 race last time out from just 51 runners, which is 49% better than expected.
· Irish Breds have won 12 of the 15, 34% better than expected.
· If we add in Grade 2 last time out then 13 of the 15 ran in a Grade 1 or 2 last time out, 30% more than expected.
· 12 of the last 15 were in the top 3 in the betting.
· 10 of the last 15 ran at exactly 3 miles last time out
· Horses winning last time out won 8 of the last 15 renewals.

A field of 11 horses contest the 2013 Gold Cup, competitive but there is no one stand out horse, all have questions to answer. These are the horses I see as the main players.

BOBS WORTH, cky Henderson thinks a huge amount about Bob’s Worth. Bred by his jockey Barry Geraghty it would be an extra special win for him. He comes here with just one run under his belt this season although that was a 3 ¼ length beating of Tidal Nay in the Hennessy Gold Cup, his Cheltenham record reads 1-1-1-1. Henderson’s record with horses at Cheltenham is second to none. Off a long rest is not no good. Bobs Worth is the favourite and rightly so!

SIR DES CHAMPS, also has an unbeaten Cheltenham and Festival but his form this year is not good enough to land this. Would need to improve on what we have seen.

SILVINIACO CONTI is the big hope and the up and coming chaser to fill the boots of Denman and Kauto Star. Nicholls is bullish and what he has done this season puts him in the mix. Could give Bobs Worth a race.

LONG RUN bids to regain his crown but vibes are not good. Cheek Pieces will be worn and he doesn’t look the horse of old. Won the King George, yes, but just, and should be not match for Bobs Worth or Conti.

Of the outsiders the each way play in the race is THE GIANT BOLSTER 14/1. David Bridgewater is a hard worker and he has trained this horse to get 100% out of it. If you put 100% in you reap what you sew. Placed in a Gold Cup already he has a real chance at value odds.

For me the outstanding two horses are BOBS WORTH and SILVINIACO CONTI. A pro bet would be to Dutch the two. Put a gun to my head and I will go for Bobs Worth

BOBS WORTH WIN @ 11/4 Bet with William Hill Bet With Bet365

THE GIANT BOLSTER EW @ 14/1 Bet with William Hill Bet With Bet365

 

For me the festival is more or less over after the Gold Cup. The last three races are an amateur riders race and the Pipe and Henderson races where they throw plenty at them. These are the picks for the last three races;

4.00 CGA Foxhunter Chase Challenge Cup

He may be a veteran but Chapoturgeon is a festival favourite. He looked to have retained plenty of his old ability when last seen winning at Newbury. Still part owned by former trainer Paul Nicholls and he could yet provide Nicholls with some festival glory. 9/2 is not the best price but he has the credentials to win this.

CHAPOTURGEON EW @ 11/4  Bet with William Hill Bet With Bet365

 

4-40 Martin Pipe Conditional Jockeys Handicap Hurdle

This is the Martin Pipe race and it is quite obvious that son David Pipe would love to win it. Usually he would fire many bullets at this race, but today he fires one, the four timer seeking GEVREY CHAMBERTIN. There is no doubting his credentials and the only worry is the rise in the weights. However the fact that Pipe fires only one at this prize he really wants to win is a big tip in itself!

GEVREY CHAMBERTIN EW 9/2 Bet with William Hill Bet With Bet365

 

5-15 Johnny Henderson Grand Annual Chase Challenge Cup

Like the Pipe race Nicky Henderson would love to win the race named after his father. Unlike David Pipe, Nicky Henderson fires six bullets at this target! I think it is a strong possibility he will hit the target and the horses I like are the classy Petit Robin and French Opera. Both have been high class horses in their time and if they recapture just a small amount of their past form then they will play a massive role in this. 20/1 each way each of two is not a bad bet!

PETIT ROBIN EW  20/1 Bet with William Hill Bet With Bet365
FRENCH OPERA EW  18/1
Bet with William Hill Bet With Bet365

 

Cheltenham Gold Cup Betting Preview 2013, Odds and Tips

 

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Cheltenham Gold Cup 2013 Betting Preview and Tips

 
The centre-piece of a quite sensational week then takes place, with Bobs Worth going out to prove he’s not a glorified handicapper, and win the Cheltenham Gold Cup  by Josh Bradley He shot to the head of the Gold Cup market following a brilliant display of all-round athleticism, when landing the Hennessy Gold Cup at Newbury. That was his sole run of the season, but one that was good enough to keep punters talking about just how good he could be. However, he still has a lot to prove when you look at the field he will be facing and the fact that he has only ran once this season is a major concern.

sir-des-champs

Will Sir Des Champs win the Cheltenham Gold Cup 2013?

Henderson has given his charge a series of racecourse gallops, but these do not equate to gaining the fitness from an actual race. He stated: “Bobs Worth has really got a bit to prove in that he has only really had one run outside novice chasing and that was in a handicap so he has got to do it against the big boys, “It was as good a performance in [winning] the Hennessy as it was in the RSA Chase last year. “It is a step up and I would have liked to have run him more on the way. He had one little hiccup himself and the whole winter has been the same – the ground has been desperate.”

Henderson’s supposed second string and former Champion, Long Run is 13/2, which looks a tad big considering he has just reclaimed his King George crown, with a great battling success. He is now older and stronger, and with Nicky Henderson applying cheek-pieces for the first-time, he looks as though he will be there coming around the final turn about to lay down his challenge.

Amateur Jockey Sam Waley-Cohen has talked very highly of his mount and can’t seem to understand his price. “We understand each other better and 7-1 for a horse that has never been out of the first three is an attractive price,” said Waley-Cohen. “There is no reason why he couldn’t get back to the level he achieved when he beat Denman and Kauto Star, “What I look for is to see a horse that is consistent, that wants to go out there and run a good race and to me that epitomises Long Run as a horse who is all courage and loves his racing.”

Paul Nicholls’ main contender to try and fill the hoof-prints of previous winners Kauto Star and Denman, is the very impressive Silviniaco Conti. The 7yo got the better of Long Run in the Betfair Chase at Haydock last November, as well as landing the Charlie Hall and Denman Chase. He looks as though he has all the major attributes that will help him scale great heights, however there have been doubts raised about to how much he will enjoy the course. He has raced at Prestbury Park once, when finishing third behind Menorah in 2010, but hasn’t been seen there since. If he handles the course, he will have a major chance, but from a betting perspective he holds too much of a risk to back confidently.

This isn’t the case with Captain Chris and The Giant Bolster who have both ran great races at the track, with The Giant Bolster managing to finish runner-up in the race last year behind Synchronised. He hasn’t been seen since finishing second behind Silviniaco Conti in the Denman Chase, and is yet to win since landing a Handicap Chase at Cheltenham last January. He is very consistent but very rarely manages to get his head in front, so for that reason he can be left. However Captain Chris looks a great each-way bet, on the basis of his last couple of runs alone. He gave Long Run a real scare in the King George, only going down by a neck, before finishing second behind Cue Card at Ascot last time, when looking like the likely winner before making a massive blunder at the last fence. He has form at Cheltenham when he landed the Arkle in 2011, so the course is no worry, and all looks set for a massive run.

Argento winner Cape Tribulation lines up, and is currently 20/1 but looks to lack the class of the leading contenders and may find this a bridge too far. However there seems to be one more value bet has to be from across the sea, with Sir Des Champs currently at 4/1.  Willie Mullins’ 7yo is two from two at Cheltenham, and was last seen landing the spoils in the Irish Hennessey. He has always looked a Gold Cup horse in the making, and with the absence of old adversary Flemenstar, his job looks slightly easier. “He worked on Saturday and worked well. Emmet Mullins rode him. He normally rides him in all his fast work,” Mullins told At The Races. “The one good thing about Sir Des Champs is that he’s going back to a track that he loves – horses and courses and all that sort of thing.”

He attacks his fences well, is a solid jumper and knows his way around the course. He is sure to be ridden closer to the pace after jockey Davy Russell admitted he had not made as much use of the horse as he possibly should have done earlier in the season. He will have the support of a mass Irish contingent and the roar will be heard across the Irish Sea if the Gigginstown Stud representative manages to get his head in front.

Cheltenham Gold Cup Tip 2013

Sir Des Champs looks an absolutely solid bet at 4/1, and could end a fantastic week for the Irish here at Cheltenham. His love of the track stands him in good stead, and he will be up with the pace early on, allowing himself to put pressure on other horses with his immaculate jumping. Captain Chris looks a solid each-way alternative for anyone opposing Sir Des Champs, and he’s coming into the race in the best form he’s been in for a long time, meaning the 14/1 on offer looks too big to ignore.

Sir Des Champs WIN @ 7/2  Bet with William Hill Bet With Bet365

 

Cheltenham Tips Day 4 Friday Cheltenham Gold Cup 2013

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Cheltenham Tips Day 4 Friday Cheltenham Gold Cup 2013

The final day of the week looks set to be as competitive as ever, and with Three Grade One’s on the card including the feature of the week, the Cheltenham Gold Cup, it looks set to be the biggest crowd for a long time at Prestbury Park, as the 27 races of sheer brilliance comes to an end by Josh Bradley

1.30pm JCB Triumph Hurdle

The Triumph Hurdle kicks off the final day of the 2013 Cheltenham Festival and it looks set to be a three-way battle between Our Conor from Ireland, and Rolling Stone and Far West from England. Our Conor has put in some solid performances across the Irish see for D.T Hughes, including demolishing the field in the Spring Juvenile Hurdle at Leopoardstown, and looks a worthy favourite. However the value may be with Paul Nicholls’ Far West who hasn’t put a foot wrong all season, winning all four of his races, including the JCB Triumph Hurdle Trial at Cheltenham. He always travels beautifully and is a solid jumper, attacking his hurdles with speed.

He looks set for big things, and I did think he would be a lot shorter than the 5/1 on offer following his string of brilliant performances. This looks a great bet, and will start the day in the best possible way, but he will have to be on top of his game to defeat the well thought of Rolling Stone who has also landed a JCB Triumph Hurdle Trial. He wasn’t overly flashy but got the job done and showed he had massive scope to improve, yet there is a big difference in class at the moment, between Far West and Nicky Henderson’s mount, so it’s worth taking the risk he won’t improve enough to get past Far West.

Far West (win) @ 4/1 Bet with William Hill Bet With Bet365

 

Vincent O’Brien County Handicap Hurdle

no bet

 

 

2.40pm Albert Bartlett Novices’ Hurdle

At Fisher’s Cross gives JP McManus the chance for another winner in his famous silks, as Rebecca Curtis’ 6yo aims to land the Albert Bartlett Novices’ Hurdle following a successful season so far. The son of Oscar seems to thrive at Cheltenham with two wins from two so far, with one of those being over course and distance.

It will take a lot to peg back Curtis’ charge, but he faces stiff opposition in the shape of the likely improver Ballycasey from the Willie Mullins’ yard. He has been successful in all three of his starts under rules, and dispatched what he has been placed with, with sumptuous ease. However he has not faced anyone with the talent of At Fisher’s Cross just yet and it looks set to be a fascinating duel. It will be difficult for any other horse to stamp their authority on the race, and the safe bet looks set to be At Fisher’s Cross, who are 3/1.

At Fisher’s Cross (win) @ 2/1 Bet with William Hill Bet With Bet365

 

3.20pm Betfred Cheltenham Gold Cup

sir-des-champsThe centre-piece of a quite sensational week then takes place, with Bob’s Worth going out to prove he’s not a glorified handicapper, and land the Gold Cup. He shot to the head of the Gold Cup market following a brilliant display of all-round athleticism, when landing the Hennessy Gold Cup at Newbury. That was his sole run of the season, but one that was good enough to keep punters talking about just how good he could be. However, he still has a lot to prove when you look at the field he will be facing. Former Champion, Long Run is 13/2, which looks a tad big considering he has just reclaimed his King George crown, with a great battling success. He is now older and stronger, and with Nicky Henderson applying cheek-pieces for the first-time, he looks as though he will be there coming around the final turn about to lay down his challenge.

Paul Nicholls’ main contender to try and fill the hoof-prints of previous winners Kauto Star and Denman, is the very impressive Silviniaco Conti. The 7yo got the better of Long Run in the Betfair Chase at Haydock last November, as well as landing the Charlie Hall and Denman Chase. He looks as though he has all the major attributes that will help him scale great heights, however there have been doubts raised about to how much he will enjoy the course. He has raced at Prestbury Park once, when finishing third behind Menorah in 2010, but hasn’t been seen there since. If he handles the course, he will have a major chance, but from a betting perspective he holds too much of a risk to back confidently.

This means that the value bet has to be from across the sea, with Sir Des Champs currently at 7/2.  Willie Mullins’ 7y0 is two from two at Cheltenham, and was last seen landing the spoils in the Irish Hennessey. He has always looked a Gold Cup horse in the making, and with the absence of old adversary Flemenstar, his job looks slightly easier. He attacks his fences well, is a solid jumper and knows his way around the course. These all point to the 7/2 on offer being a simply sensational bet.

Sir Des Champs (win) @ 7/2 Bet with William Hill Bet With Bet365
No ridden by AP McCoy

 

 

4.00pm CGA Foxhunter Chase Challenge Cup

Salsify looks set to regain the Foxhunter Chase, after coming into the race in top form, after mopping up numerous Hunter Chase’s over in Ireland. He landed the race in some style last year, and the 5/2 currently on offer will be long gone by the time they line up next Friday. The forecast could well be similar, as Chapoturgeon lines up once more, and is fancied to go well for Barber. The lovable Grey landed a Newbury Hunter Chase in impressive style in January and has been put away for the Festival since. He is always consistent, and often travels into the race better than anyone. If he can sustain his challenge he definitely has enough to scare his rivals, but Salsify should be able to dig deep and just about land the spoils.

Salisfy  (win) @ 11/4 Bet with William Hill Bet With Bet365

 

4.40pm Martin Pipe Conditional Jockeys’ Handicap Hurdle

no bet

 

 

5.15pm Johnny Henderson Grand Annual Chase (Handicap)

The finale looks set to go the way of Brian Ellison’s Viva Colonia. The Johnny Henderson Grand Annual Chase is always a tough one to call, but this year Ellison’s charge looks perfect for the race. He landed his Novice Chase in impressive fashion before going on to win the Scottish Future Champion’s Chase, turning over a fancied odds-on shot. He gets into the race off a low weight, and is a very rare runner at Cheltenham for the trainer, the current 14/1 looks enough to entice into a small each-way bet, and hopefully see off the festival in profit. He will come up against a strong Nicky Henderson challenge who always attempts to land the race in memory of his father.

Kid Cassidy looks the pick of the bunch for the same connections that took the race last year with Bellvano. Kid Cassidy went off favourite for the race last year but disappointed, finishing way down the field. He finished a respectable fifth when last seen on a racecourse, in a competitive handicap at Cheltenham last year, and is sure to have been put away especially for the race, He has a major chance if he is allowed to stay up with the pace, but 10/1 isn’t enough to tempt me when there is 14/1 on offer for Viva Colonia.

Viva Colonia (e/w) @ 14/1 Bet with William Hill Bet With Bet365

 

Long Run 10/1 Offer with William Hill for Cheltenham Gold Cup 2013

William Hill for Cheltenham Gold Cup 2013

Take this offer quickly, William Hill are offering an enhanced priority price for Long Run to win the Cheltenham Gold Cup 2013  at 10/1 from 7/1 for a short period from 9am 6th March 2013. Don’t miss out and place your bet at the enhanced price. Follow @cheltenhamtips on twitter for the latest updates.

long-run

 

Cheltenham Gold Cup Tips

Betfred Cheltenham Gold Cup Tips 2012

This is the big race of the week, and its fascinating! There are so many ifs and maybes here, but this is my view and this is what I will be doing. This is between LONG RUN and KAUTO STAR who all things been equal, and combined winners of three Gold Cups are better than these by miles. Now come the buts…

  • Long Run has looked a shadow of his former self, or he has been beaten by Kauto Star back to his bets
  • But Kauto has been the subject of an injury scare.
  • He has however come out of it fine and I think its wasn’t as serious as the media have made out, just a view.

The sensible bet is a dutch bet on Kauto Star and Long Run (ie back both) but in my view Kauto Star will regain the Gold Cup and is a great EW price now at 4/1+. Midnight Chase is the best outsider of the rest. I have to admit my heart is behind Kauto and I will cry like a baby if he wins it! Love the horse and there may be another chapter in the wonderful Kauto Star story!

Summary:

KAUTO STAR to Win the Gold Cup at 4/1 with Bet365

MIDNIGHT CHASE Each Way at 10/1 with Bet365

 

No.
Colours
Horse
Form
Approx. Odds
Bet
Age
Trainer
Jockey
Rating
7

Long Run

11-221

7/4

bet 7 Nicky Henderson Sam Waley-Cohen 182
The current champion who needs to prove he can come back and defend his crown, as the doubters are definitely out in force. Not the sexiest of horses in the line up but seems quite a stuffy type and can only improve with Racing. I was lucky enough to see him at Newbury after his latest win and between then and seeing him again at Seven Barrows, he’d improved so much. He looks as if he’s peaking at the right time so be warned especially with the Henderson team on fire!!
5

Kauto Star

33-P11

4/1

bet 12 Paul Nicholls Ruby Walsh 183
What can I say about this superstar?! Well in my opinion I’ll be very lucky in my lifetime to see another like him, as he simply has it all. Paul Nicholls must feel so lucky to be handling one of the best Chaser’s of all time and the way he has bounced back this year is not only a credit to the horse but the staff down at Ditcheat. If he rocks up at Cheltenham on Friday you can be rest assured Paul will have him where he wants. For what it’s worth I think if he wins this year’s Gold Cup it will be Paul’s greatest ever training performance – by a mile!! Tip to Win
1

Burton Point

21/2-2

7/1

bet 8 Nicky Henderson Barry Geraghty 166
There was plenty of stable confidence in this son of Bob Back on his return to the track at Newbury last time out after a lengthy absence, where he was in receipt of 10lbs from his stable companion Long Run and certainly did not let his supporters down. If Nicky can derive some more improvement which there is no reason why he can’t then he’s right there in the mix. In fact he could be the one that causes a major upset.
8

Midnight Chase

15-F31

10/1

bet 10 Neil Mulholland Dougie Costello 163
Would be great for connections if he can land this contest but I personally feel he’ll set the pace and get found out when the main protagonists turn the tap on and start to race down the hill. If he finishes in the frame all involved with the horse would be over the moon.
14

Weird Al

18P-13

11/1

bet 9 Donald McCain Jason Macguire 164
Probably just short on class at this level but is a sound jumper and will give you a good run for your money. If he gets a clear round he will be doing all his best work at the finish and could sneak a place. He could be worth looking at for this year’s Grand National as he’s just the type to go well in a race of that nature.
10

Synchronised

3-P731

10/1

bet 9 Jonjo O’Neil Tony McCoy 167
Have to doubt his participation especially as the ground could be on the quick side even though he’s been declared, so if he lines up his chance must be respected as he has been handled impeccably by connections. Could be another to cause an upset and will be staying on up the hill when others are faltering.
9

Quel Esprit

F-B111

20/1

bet 8 Willie Mullins P Townend 160
Took a tumble last year when travelling well in the RSA Chase and even though he has plenty of 1’s next to his name, I genuinely feel he’ll get found out in this company. Saying that he has a touch of class so could be one for hitting the frame at decent odds.
15

What A Friend

24P-33

25/1

bet 9 Paul Nicholls Daryl Jacob 165
Now a horse who could actually run a massive race under what looks ideal conditions, so it may be worth looking at the market w/o Long Run and Kauto Star in the field, as he’s currently trading at 14/1 with Bet365 ¼ odds 1, 2 and 3 places which looks outstanding value in my book considering they go 16/1 with those two in the field. Get on now each way as even if he finishes 5th we will be picking up.
4

Diamond Harry

P/1-45

33/1

bet 9 Nick Williams Noel Fehily 160
A horse with so much ability who has just seemed to lose his way and I’m not sure ground conditions will play to his strengths, as he’s quite a fragile type. Noel Fehily is in the saddle and will be hoping to spring another surprise but I’m not convinced myself.
3

China Rock

34P-45

50/1

bet 9 M F Morris A E Lynch 152
Now this horse could be the fly in the ointment as I know connections have been training him for one day – today. He may be short of top class but has a heart and will battle all the way to the line, so at a tasty 40/1 with Paddy Power ¼ odds 1, 2 and 3 places without the front two it looks worth getting involved.
13

Time For Rupert

5-2514

50/1

bet 8 Paul Webber Denis O’Regan 153
Looked the real deal last season but has just been found wanting at the top level and again he’s a horse I could not be with in this line up.
2

Carruthers

49-31P

66/1

bet 9 Mark Bradstock Mattie Batchelor 151
Last year’s Hennessy Gold Cup winner and if he can land this event then there will not be a dry eye in the house but I feel the horse and connections have had their day in the sun. He definitely falls short in this grade but he will be up there from the off and making sure it’s a proper gallop.
11

The Giant Bolster

4U7214

66/1

bet 7 David Bridgwater Tom Scudamore 160
No disrespect to connections but I love this horse yet running him in a Gold Cup is ridiculous. He’s a gorgeous mover and could pick up a bit of prize money but I’m convinced there would be suitable targets but as I stated earlier you only get one Cheltenham Gold Cup.
6

Knockara Beau

02632

100/1

bet 9 George Charlton Jan Faltejsek 147
A gorgeous horse who always gives his running, probably another short of top class but will be doing all his best work at the finish but I can’t see him bothering the main protagonists.
12

The Midnight Club

16-B43

100/1

bet 11 Willie Mullins D J Casey 145
Now an interesting horse and could be this year’s Grand National winner, so if he can pop round and finish 5th or 6th I would be very happy with that and he could head to Aintree as one of the fancied ones. At the time of writing he’s 33/1 with Ladbrokes and Stan James and they may look very big on the day considering he went off favourite for the race last year.
Cheltenham Gold Cup Odds from bet365: 15-8 Long Run, 7-2 Kauto Star, 13-2 Burton Port, 11 Weird Al, 12 Midnight Chase, 14 Quel Esprit, Synchronised, 20 What A Friend, 33 Diamond Harry, 40 Time For Rupert, 50 China Rock, Carruthers, 66 The Giant Bolster, 80 Konockara Beau, The Midnight Club